Québec has made notable progress in reducing its debt load in recent decades, although it remains high. Québec is one of the most indebted jurisdictions in Canada.
1GDP‑weighted average.
2GDP‑weighted average excluding the least indebted province, Alberta, and the most indebted province, Newfoundland and Labrador.
Sources: Governments’ public accounts and Statistics Canada.
The government remains committed to reducing long‑term debt and is continuing to make dedicated revenues deposits in the Generations Fund.
Nevertheless, developments in the budgetary situation and the current uncertain economic context call for an adjustment to the debt reduction targets announced in March 2023, as mentioned in the March 2025 budget.
Net debt to GDP must be reduced to 35.5% of GDP by 2032‑2033 and to 32.5% of GDP by 2037‑2038.
Year | GDP (%) |
---|---|
2013 | 53.9 |
2014 | 53.4 |
2015 | 52.6 |
2016 | 51.1 |
2017 | 48.9 |
2018 | 45.9 |
2019 | 42.9 |
2020 | 40.9 |
2021 | 43.1 |
2022 | 38.8 |
2023 | 37.9 |
2024 | 38.0 |
2025 | 38.7 |
2026 | 40.4 |
2027 | 41.5 |
2028 | 41.9 |
2029 | 41.0 |
2030 | 39.8 |
Since 2006, the Generations Fund is an important pillar of the debt reduction strategy.
In 2025‑2026, revenues dedicated to the Generations Fund will stand at $2.2 billion. They will rise to $2.8 billion in 2029‑2030.
As at March 31, 2025, the balance of the Generations Fund will stand at $16.8 billion, which is 7.1% of net debt.
Withdrawals from the Generations Fund to repay borrowings will stand at $2.5 billion in 2025‑2026. They amounted to $4.4 billion in 2024‑2025.
Withdrawals serve to reduce the financing program and alleviate debt service.
2024‑2025 | 2025‑2026 | 2026‑2027 | 2027‑2028 | 2028‑2029 | 2029‑2030 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book value, beginning of year | 18 458 | 16 812 | 16 489 | 18 891 | 21 413 | 24 061 |
Dedicated revenues | ||||||
Water‑power royalties | ||||||
Hydro‑Québec | 736 | 757 | 880 | 892 | 904 | 933 |
Private producers | 115 | 121 | 124 | 126 | 129 | 131 |
Subtotal | 851 | 878 | 1 004 | 1 018 | 1 033 | 1 064 |
Additional contribution from Hydro‑Québec | 650 | 650 | 650 | 650 | 650 | 650 |
Investment income | 853 | 649 | 748 | 854 | 965 | 1 082 |
Total dedicated revenues | 2 354 | 2 177 | 2 402 | 2 522 | 2 648 | 2 796 |
Deposit from the Territorial Information Fund | 400 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total deposits | 2 754 | 2 177 | 2 402 | 2 522 | 2 648 | 2 796 |
Use of the Generations Fund to repay borrowings | –4 400 | –2 500 | — | — | — | — |
Book value, end of year |
16 812 | 16 489 | 18 891 | 21 413 | 24 061 | 26 857 |
% of net debt | 7.1 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 7.6 | 8.4 | 9.3 |
% of GDP | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.7 |
A credit rating helps measure the ability of a borrower, such as the Québec government, to pay interest on its debt and repay the principal at maturity.
Québec’s credit rating is evaluated by five credit rating agencies.
To learn more about Québec’s debt and the Generations Fund, see the section The Québec Government’s Debt of the Québec Budget Plan – March 2025.